OpenAI missed targets but maintains its GPT-5.5 release timeline. Release by June 30, 2026, remains at 100% YES.

Bitcoin reached a new all-time high in 2026, with the market pricing a peak by June 30 at just 2.6% YES, while September and ...

Kazimir hints at a possible ECB rate hike due to the Iran conflict. Rate cut of 50+ bps by April 2026 at 0.1% YES.

Six tech stocks enter bear territory amid rising US-Iran tensions. NVIDIA to be largest company by June 30 at 92% YES.

GOP senators doubt Hegseth's leadership amid Pentagon turmoil. End of military operations against Iran by March 1 at 15% YES.

Ten crypto protocols were exploited linked to Lazarus Group. Another $100M+ crypto hack by December 31 at 100% YES.

Larry Fink, CEO of BlackRock, predicts Bitcoin could climb to $500,000–$700,000. Bitcoin reaching $200,000 by December 31, ...

First LNG shipment through Hormuz signals possible Middle East de-escalation. Bitcoin dip to $60K in April at 0% YES.

The yield on Japan’s 40-year government bond fell to 3.875%, down 1 basis point. The Polymarket contract for a Bank of Japan ...

First LNG shipment leaves Strait of Hormuz since 2026 Iran war began. 80 ships transiting the strait by April 30 at 1.1% YES.

Iran and the US blockades of Hormuz fail to raise oil price expectations. Crude oil all-time high by April 30 at 0.7% YES.

Brent crude prices are near $110 per barrel as US-Iran negotiations stall. The “Crude Oil All Time High by April 30” market ...