The odds that asteroid 2024 YR4 could hit Earth in 2032 recently spiked from a little more than 1% to 2.3% as more observations are made.

YR4 has a 2.3% chance of hitting Earth in the year 2032. But according to new estimates, it may have an even smaller chance of hitting the moon instead.

Was 2020’s ‘Don’t Look Up’ accurate? Find out what NASA revealed about an asteroid that will approach Earth in 2032.